The GFS keeps the MJO over the Western Pacific and this likely keeps the strengthening of the El Nino in tact after a little slow down in that warming phase. A record El Nino may be observed by the end of this month as a result. The ACCESS models also keeps the MJO over the Western Pacific and continues to help strengthen the El Nino in the weeks ahead. A record El Nino may be observed at the end of the month as a result. If the MJO was stuck over the Indian Ocean and points towards...

The return of frost over parts of northern Victoria and southeast inland SA and across the southeast and southern NSW and the ACT. Frost is not expected to be severe. Frost may become more widespread on Friday morning.

STATE OF PLAY - ISSUED WEDNESDAY 9TH SEPTEMBER 2026 A large high pressure system is expected to remain over the Bight today and this is expected to be a dominant force for the rest of the week. The showers and storms continue over eastern WA and far northwest SA near a weakening upper trough. The showers about the east of QLD and NSW running parallel to the coast in southerly winds continue and milder weather with temperatures slightly below average. The dry weather over the tropics...