There has been some pleasant showers across much of the Ag Areas in the past 24hrs where some reasonable rainfall has been observed for those hanging out for a drink to get their crops over the line, some have still missed out. The hit and miss showers under the weakening low pressure giving a nice drink to some but bypassing others.
Tomorrow the cold airmass and the showery risk will shift eastwards and the weather will begin to improve as new high pressure moves in from the west. The high should sit over much of the state from Saturday and dry Sunday.
Next week we warm up in a northeast to northerly flow with sunny weather, though temperatures will turn warm and humid on Wednesday or Thursday with the approach of a trough from the west, drawing in that humid air from the east and north of the country. There will also be deep moisture being driven in from the northwest Indian Ocean which will also come into play with the trough moving east.
Overall rainfall chances do come up from mid next week from the west.
Lets take a look.
Rainfall next 10 days
Rainfall is expected to ease from the west as we track the new low pressure system over VIC and then east of Tasmania, that will send the flow into the southwest. Showery on Friday with the chance of some thunder in the east but really the airmass is becoming warmer and more stable from the west so dry by Saturday. The next chance of rainfall arrives in the west with that next trough during mid next week and that offers some moderate rainfall for some parts of the Ag areas with the trough slowly moving east, meaning a chance of a multi day rainfall event for the state and then the east with humid unsettled weather in place.
Farmers and Graziers Risk Remainder of this week.
The BoM have cancelled the warning, but the risk in my opinion continues but should ease from Saturday for southeast areas.
DATA - More information can be found in the video at the top.
00Z GFS Surface Pressure Pattern and Rainfall Distribution - Next 16 Days
00Z GFS Precipitable Water Anomalies - Next 16 Days
00z GFS Rainfall Accumulation - Next 16 days
12z CMC Rainfall Accumulation - Next 10 days
As mentioned I need to have a moment to catch my breath ahead of another busy day tomorrow - so more weather coming up after 7am EDT.
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