QLD - SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RAMPING UP. FLOOD RISK AND RIVERINE FLOODING POSSIBLE.

A very stormy and wet period is set to pounce upon QLD yet again, and this is after overnight, we saw 30-130mm of rainfall for parts of southern and central QLD. A very wet period on top of this rainfall is likely to lead to flooding, both flash and riverine.


Crops in the region have taken a hammering and sadly they will continue to do so.


Lets take a look

FORECAST

Rainfall Next 10 Days

Exceptional rainfall potential still remains, especially with thunderstorms that roll through in the coming days. Extremely high PW values coupled with instability will lend itself to heavy rainfall with potential for some areas to record 70mm in an hour. Overall the most widespread rainfall is due Wednesday through Friday with a deep low and trough passing through the state. Then a much drier and cooler airmass will work north behind the system and the rainfall chances contract north through the weekend. Showers may redevelop from next week as winds tend easterly, mainly along the coast and isolated showers and thunderstorms return to the eastern inland.

A closer look at the southeast

Thunderstorm Forecast Tuesday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms tonight will slowly ease and contract north and east through the evening. They will return once again during the afternoon and the evening, with the most active thunderstorms in a broad band from the NT through Central QLD into the Wide Bay. All modes of severe weather possible but heavy rainfall leading to dangerous flash flooding is most likely. The thunderstorm activity will move east and clear later.

Flash Flood Risk Tuesday

Flash flooding is a high risk over the central inland of QLD with thunderstorms but as seen in previous weeks, this is a risk area, and means some areas will be clobbered while others will see not much at all.

Damaging Winds Risk Tuesday

Damaging wind gusts with organised thunderstorms most likely to be found along and north and east of a trough hanging up over southern inland QLD during the afternoon and evening.

DATA - You can find more details in the video at the top of the page.


GFS 00z - Surface Pressure Pattern and Rainfall Distribution - Next 16 Days

The weather turns humid and unsettled once again in about 9-10 days time for much of the nation so only a small window of dry weather expected.

GFS 00z - Precipitable Water Anomalies - Next 16 Days

GFS 00z - Precipitable Water Values - Next 16 Days

Moisture returns in about 10 days time with a trough lifting the weather into showers and storms once again.

GFS 00z - Rainfall Accumulation - Next 16 Days

More weather coming your way at 9pm tonight with a wrap of all things rainfall.

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