QLD - COLD STARTS IN THE SOUTH BUT WEATHER REMAINING VERY WARM AND SETTLED INLAND.

However the humidity will return to the northern parts of the coast with the chance of showers increasing later this week and across the weekend. The trade winds bringing the most of the wet weather to northern parts of the coast.


Next week, a trough may work it's way into the state from the west driving showers and thunderstorms, the first outbreak of the season is possible with this feature for southern and southeast inland areas.


Lets have a look at the latest update.

Rainfall for the next 10 days

Still remaining dry for the coming 10 days, though there are hints of rainfall returning to the forecast next week, but at this stage it is bookmarked for now without being too specific. Be aware that the weather will be dry over inland areas for the coming 7 days or so and then we will see rainfall return to the forecast this time next week over SA and this may spread east by mid next week. The bulk of the rainfall in the short term will be up over the north of the state before onshore winds redevelop later in the weekend into early next week.

00Z Euro Surface Pressure Pattern for the coming 10 days

The weather is largely unchanged from this morning with the high pressure system in full control this week, which has been well forecast by models. The weather likely to trend warmer from the west of the nation this week, the frost risk starting to ease later this week over the east. Up north the humidity will gradually return with showers increasing for parts of the NT and QLD. A narrow band of cloud and rain will also pass through SWLD of WA, bypass SA and parts of VIC with the rain band then returning over western TAS with moderate rainfall. The inland areas of the nation relatively dry for now, but just outside of this window we have got moisture building and rainfall chances increasing for inland areas.

00z Euro Rainfall for the coming 10 days

Not much if you are living inland at the moment with areas of rain developing for the southwest of the nation and western TAS being the wettest parts of the nation. Showers increasing over the north with scattered falls for the NT and QLD early next week. Otherwise for our region we will have for moisture to build up further and be lifted by troughs over much of the nation, building up in the heat levels thanks to persistent high pressure.

00z Euro Precipitable Water Anomalies next 10 days

The PW anomalies are likely to remain drier than normal this week under high pressure in the wake of the front over the weekend. Humidity will gradually increase thanks to easterly trade winds over the north and then flow turning more northeasterly. Then moisture from WA through the Southern Ocean and Tasmania may be propelled into the southeast in the shorter term, the only opportunity for rainfall in the southern states in the coming week.

I will have more details on the modelling for potential next week with the wrap in models after 9pm.



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