The drier air over the southern two thirds of the NT is expected to persist through to mid next week. The weather dominated by a high pressure system aloft and the drier air below. That will change as we track a new trough out of WA through to the southeast, the winds upstairs will drag in the moisture from the northern tropics into the south and that is where will see showers and thunderstorms move south.
Showers and thunderstorms developing each day over the northern Top End and these could become a little more numerous as we track through this week with a trough developing over the region. Might be getting close to severe thunderstorms for some locations.
Lets take a look
Rainfall next 10 days
The wet weather will be daily across the north of the NT with the usual diurnal cycle scattered showers and thunderstorms. The moisture will creep southwards in the coming week and that will begin to introduce the showers and thunderstorms over the central NT mid to late week and the south later in the week into the weekend with moderate falls possible under storms.
Thunderstorm Forecast Saturday
Thunderstorms are expected to be scattered and largely unchanged in distribution from today - storms will be heavy with gusty winds over the Top End but that lends itself to uneven rainfall distribution and that will continue.
DATA - More details can be found in the video.
GFS 00Z - Surface Pressure Pattern and Rainfall Distribution - Next 16 Days
GFS 00Z - Precipitable Water Anomalies - Next 16 Days
GFS 00Z - Rainfall Accumulation - Next 16 Days
GFS 00Z - Temperature Anomalies - Next 16 Days
More weather details coming up on Saturday morning at some stage. Have a great Friday night!!!