NT,QLD, NSW - SEVERE WEATHER - THE FLASH FLOOD RISK REMAINS VERY HIGH AND INTENSE RAIN CONTINUES.

Please make sure you stay weather aware today with the risk of severe weather running very high along parts of the coast and the inland of QLD and NSW and clipping parts of northern VIC.


Also the tropics very active, but at this stage.....


A REMINDER.

Thunderstorm Forecast Thursday

Thunderstorms will continue from this evening into Thursday with thunderstorms carrying a very high chance of turning severe through the higher probability zones with heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding the main concern.

Flash Flood Risk Thursday

Heavy rainfall expected to drive the flash flood risk to very high levels over inland areas with thunderstorm activity and along the coast with onshore stream showers and areas of thundery rainfall. As seen in QLD and NSW in recent days, more of this is to unfold again over the coming 24 hours This is related to thunderstorm driven rainfall as well as the coastal trough driving heavy coastal rainfall.

Thunderstorm Forecast Thursday

Thunderstorms are forecast to remain active tonight and tomorrow with severe weather expected in the form of flash flooding to continue into Thursday. Significant rainfall and intense rainfall over the east coast over the coming 24hrs will lead to life threatening flood risks and destructive conditions. The thunderstorms slowly contracting eastwards during the afternoon as the trough advances eastwards.

Flash Flood Risk Thursday

Flash flooding remains a very high risk over the southeast and inland areas with thunderstorms with dangerous flash flooding more likely over the east coast from Noosa southwards to northeast NSW.

A closer look in - this exclusively related to the coastal trough. Refer to the broader chart for the thunderstorm induced flash flood risk.

Tropical Low Watch

Keep an eye on a low that has formed northeast of the Top End which is likely to move east over coming days leading to enhanced rainfall through north QLD during the weekend and next week before shooting offshore. Some models turn the tropical low south along the east coast next week, others keep it out to sea.

Thunderstorm Forecast Thursday

Thunderstorms will continue to impact mainly the Top End of the nation as we track through Thursday with the tropical low producing locally heavy rainfall and damaging winds potential for parts of the northern coast. The track of this system is very critical in terms of placing the rainfall shield over the region, which will impact thunderstorm distribution.

Flash Flood Risk Thursday

Flash flooding is a high risk across the north coast but that risk eases rapidly as you move inland of the coast with the bands of rainfall developing in association with the tropical low skirt the coastal regions. The track of the tropical low will determine the spread of rainfall through the region and if it moves closer to the NT then the flash flood risk may spread further inland.

Tropical Low Watch

Tropical lows currently sit northeast and northwest of the Top End with the low of most concern to the NT sitting northwest of Darwin. Some models suggest that it moves westbound, others pushing it south and southeast towards the NT. This is a volatile situation and conditions could change rapidly over coming days so stay tuned.

Stay weather aware today with the volatile weather pattern continuing!!