Quiet weekend of weather, gorgeous sunshine right across the nation, with a very clear satellite. A few showers over the northeast NSW this morning but they are floating offshore right now, winds have veered into the southeast over QLD but again, most of the showers are offshore for now but may come onshore tomorrow.
A weak system may pass through the SWLD of WA with a few showers overnight but fine weather expected north of Mandurah overnight.
Rainfall for the next 10 days
Rainfall is fairly light and patchy for coastal areas over southern Australia with weak fronts this week. Keep watch on the frontal weather out west Wednesday which will be the first in a series of fronts to start introducing wet weather to the southern and eastern areas of the nation. The strongest system looks likely next weekend at this time. I don't want to raise expectations too much yet but the modelling is promising for a major change developing for the nation next weekend. Otherwise the wettest part of the nation will be TAS and FNQ with onshore winds.
Lets get straight to the latest data this morning.
18Z GFS Surface Pressure Pattern for the coming 16 days
The weather is expected to remain settled for much of this coming work week. We have a number of weak fronts to watch, one that pops through during this evening over the SWLD with a few light showers, that front also kicks along and passes over the southeast of the nation during Monday with a few light showers. Another period of easterly winds underway over QLD will keep the showers going but otherwise if you live inland of the coast, dry weather developing for much of the nation from today with high pressure dominating. The next belt of stronger fronts approaches WA during Wednesday night with a band of rain pushing through, that front looks to weaken over the south of the nation bringing patchy rainfall. A stronger system next weekend will sweep the nation with widespread rainfall still anticipated. This morning the modelling next weekend is encouraging for widespread rainfall across multiple states.
18z GFS Rainfall for the coming 16 days
No much rainfall nationally until we get to Wednesday out west with the first front and then the secondary frontal boundary passing through the nation next week looks to bring much more widespread rainfall with the potential for moderate falls across multiple areas. The weather is expected to translate west to east quite steadily in the medium term. There are more weather systems to follow this event being modelled next weekend with deeper moisture still floating around.
I will have another update this afternoon and check out the full data sets. Enjoy the sunshine inland and a chance to dry out.