The nation has been clobbered by stormy weather with a lot of flash flooding this week. The storms will be sticking around over the course of the next week to keep the flash flood risk going over in the east. The drier air and stable weather stays in place for VIC, SA and WA.
Thunderstorm Forecast Saturday
Thunderstorms are likely about the eastern portions of QLD and extend into northern NSW during the afternoon and evening as a trough becomes near stationary from today and begins its journey back to the west. On and east of the trough is where you will find thunderstorms which may turn severe with heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding. Over the north, routine afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, some of those gusty and heavy as per recent days and seasonal expectations coming into December.
Thunderstorm Forecast Sunday
The trough in the east is expected to move west to be over central and northern NSW and extend through southern and central inland QLD and wrap into the northern tropics. Widespread showers and thunderstorms developing along and to the east of this trough with severe thunderstorms possible. Heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding is the main risk along with damaging winds. The storms over the northern tropics could also be gusty.
Thunderstorm Forecast Monday
The trough remains near stationary on Monday but could extend to southern inland NSW during the afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms from about the ACT north along and to the east of the trough through NSW and QLD wrapping back into the tropics. Heavy rainfall may lead to flash flooding once again over the eastern inland of NSW and QLD.
Thunderstorm Forecast Tuesday
The trough begins to dig further south Tuesday and deepen, that will be in response to an inactive trough approaching from SA during the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms may increase dramatically as the process happens with extensive showers and thunderstorms developing, locally severe. All modes of severe weather is possible over a wide area in the east. The usual storms over the north will continue.
Thunderstorm Forecast Wednesday
The trough over the east will deepen further on Wednesday with a trough from SA merging with the eastern trough and moving the feature along. The extra wind shear and dynamic support will assist in thunderstorms developing for much of VIC, NSW, ACT and QLD during the day, with the higher chance of severe weather from eastern VIC through the ACT through to NSW and QLD. All modes of severe weather possible The northern tropics remaining active with thunderstorms being drawn southwest through the Kimberly towards the Pilbara.
Thunderstorm Forecast Thursday
The trough in the east gets a nudge north and east and begins to push the storm focus back north and east through NSW and continues over QLD. Storms may continue to be severe during the afternoon and evening. All modes of severe weather is possible. The weather over the north is routine with the thunderstorm risk running down the west coast a little with a developing heat trough through the western interior.
More details to come throughout the next few days