MODELLING RAMPING UP THE RAINFALL WITH STRONG COLD FRONT MONDAY.

A quick update - it does appear that the system developing Sunday into Monday may bring some heavier rainfall totals than what is being forecast, which is not unexpected given the moisture that is available and the warmer air clashing with the colder air coming from the southwest.


It does have the hallmarks of being a soaker IF it comes together but the consensus is building.


ACCESS

Certainly has a heavy band of rainfall with 1-2 months worth of rainfall passing though NSW and northeast VIC. Will see if that verifies. This is for the one system until Wednesday morning.

UKMet

Has the rainfall positioned a little further north but not quite as extensive as ACCESS or GFS for that matter. But rainfall is increasing.

ICON

Continues to spread the moderate to heavy rainfall throughout southern and central NSW west of the divide and even for areas of SE NSW too which has missed out.

KMA

Has come into line with the other modelling suggesting heavy falls are possible about inland NSW and through SE NSW as well.

You can check out the major players in your state based forecast.


More tomorrow. Signs are improving for those who want decent rainfall, but lets see how the models handle it tomorrow.

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