LA NINA RISK INCREASING FOR SUMMER 2022/23 AND MAY IMPACT SPRING AS WELL FOR NORTH AND EASTERN AREAS


I will have more on this on Monday when I finish my forecast outlook for the ENSO - but this will now mean that forecasts for Spring and Summer for rainfall over large chunks of the nation will likely increase!

So, a heads up that we are staring down a higher chance of La Nina this Summer, and while I am not calling it just yet, we are moving beyond the predictability barrier which is in place between May and July.

Raw data from the CPC - which has picked the last 4 ENSO phases correctly ahead of time.

The latest data set from the CPC

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

The persistent cooler waters over the ENSO region may continue to strengthen over the coming months ahead, placing the basin back into a full blown La Nina, a dead giveaway on the ENSO is the warmer waters over parts of northern and eastern Australia.

More on this during Monday after I curate a forecast for you over the weekend.

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