EARLY EDITION - WEDNESDAY MORNING - THE SYSTEMS TO WATCH THROUGH THE WEEK

The clear winner in the short term in the form of rainfall is that departing westerly wind belt with frontal weather still to clip the south of the country, but the potency of these fronts is not severe and leading to garden variety weather for this time of year.


What is of significance is the development of that anomalous rainfall event over the north and east of the country from later in the weekend but more so next week and whether we see follow up rainfall into July over the same areas.


Opposite issue in the west, it dries out over the course of the coming week with a developing Winter Break, and this may extend into SA depending on the orientation of the upper trough through the eastern inland.


Let's take a look


Wednesday

The next cold front approaching the SWLD of WA later in the day will bring windy weather and showers later. The cloud ahead of that front will stream into the southeast with an upper-level southwest flow but no rainfall is expected with a firm ridge controlling the region and quite frankly the majority of the nation leading to settled weather for most today.

Thursday

The next front approaches from the southeast and south of the country with windy weather ahead of it and rather mild. Showers developing throughout the day with mainly light falls. Showers continue over the SWLD with the trough attached on the northwest flank leading to scattered showers with some moderate rainfall possible. Large cloud band born out of the moisture north of the nation continues to stream southeast.

Saturday

Weak front through the southeast bringing showers and cooler conditions. Some cloud increasing ahead of the system later Saturday into Sunday over NSW but no rainfall is expected at this time. The southwest of the nation looking relatively dry, though a front may graze the SWLD.

Sunday

Noting the moisture is deepening over the northern tropics in advance of the upper trough bringing showers to southern parts of the nation. The rest of the nation is relatively quiet with dry air and broad ridging.

Monday

Widespread cloud and rain developing over the northern and northeast of the nation with a deep moisture plume lifted by an upper low. A cold front moving through the SWLD of WA with moderate showers is possible throughout the latter part of the day. Otherwise, most areas are drier.

Tuesday

Widespread rainfall spreading from the NT into the eastern and southeast inland with moderate rainfall possible. A front approaching the SWLD will bring showers throughout the day with a cooler shift. But certainly, a severe weather risk is likely over the north and east under such guidance.

REMEMBER THESE MECHANICS AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK TO SEE WHERE THE HIGHER RISKS OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO BE FOUND. MOISTURE VALUES NEXT TUESDAY.

UPPER AIR PATTERN - NEXT TUESDAY.

More coming up from 8am this morning with the next video and the Climate Drivers Update is due by 11am EST today plus much more.