That is the big system to watch in terms of providing more dynamic weather in the short and medium term.
But in the short and medium term, we are tracking some cold conditions for large parts of the southeast and east of the country, with a large mass of rain pushing through QLD and NSW today, mainly running over the border region there. A cold front is approaching the southeast today as well, with freshening cold northerly winds with showers developing.
The tropics however, bucking the trend of turning into typical June weather, with higher humidity leading to a few showers and thunderstorms about.
Far western areas looking more settled to end the week too, with showers restricted to the far southeast and over the far north with that tropical shower activity and higher humidity.
But what about this rain event next week for the west? The modelling has been all over the shop and will continue to be so until about Sunday as mentioned. The areas of the SWLD remaining dry for the coming 5 days at least before we see showers developing with that next trough, the coverage and intensity of the rainfall to be determined still.
Let's take a look at the systems of interest this week.
The east looking wet today with increasing rainfall coverage with locally moderate to heavy falls for this time of year over southern QLD and northern NSW. Patchy rainfall expected from Central NSW southwards. A weakening front passing over SA into VIC will spread a few showers and windy weather for the region this afternoon. Over the northern tropics, a little more settled but remaining humid and becoming fine over t
Strong cold front approaching SA on Saturday with see winds strengthen to gale force and showers increase during the day. Another cloud band develops over Southern Australia, and we might see rainfall numbers increasing in the outlook period if this continues to become a theme ahead of this system. Cold over the eastern inland after frosty starts with winds freshening and remaining humid over the north.
Multiple cloud bands trying to form along and ahead of a strong cold front ramming through the southeast. Strong winds, heavy showers, hail and thunder possible with snow down to lower levels. Areas of rainfall developing once again over southern QLD and northern NSW so I will be adjusting rainfall charts this morning to cover this off. A few showers possible offshore southwest WA and the tropics remaining humid.
Showery and windy through the southeast with local hail and thunder continuing in a cold and unstable airmass. The northern tropics under a cloud band with areas of rain and thunder running through a cloud band over Cape York and into the Coral Sea. Low cloud covering much of southern Australia and below average temperatures forecast for much of the southern two thirds of the nation. The southwest milder but also partly cloudy.
The next rain event is already making an impact for the west and southwest of the nation with moderate falls developing for parts of WA from next Wednesday, other models do not see this however. Showers and local hail continue over parts of southern VIC and TAS with another front rolling through but remaining cold and dry throughout the eastern interior with ridging keeping the skies partly cloudy. Over the northern tropics, humid and remaining unsettled about coastal areas of northern WA, NT and Cape York.
Significant cloud band over the northwest and west of the nation leading to widespread rainfall spreading throughout WA next Friday, cloud increasing for SA, and showers easing for VIC as the high approaches the region. Fine for the most part in the east though below average temperatures continue but above average humidity values are likely over the northern tropics with a large slab of moisture sitting offshore.
The next band of rain and cloud is set to spread into the central parts of the nation from later next weekend, with the southeast finally drying out. Noting the very heavy moisture load sitting north of the tropics, which will possibly be drawn into the north of the nation as this feature runs into the east and southeast of Australia, IF this were to verify.
More to come in the video at 8am EST and there is plenty to discuss! Lots on!