Good morning, I hope you have had a good rest. Lets get straight into the areas to watch this week and what will be covered off in more details through the morning update.
A significant band of rain and thunderstorms should be ongoing this morning and through today which will spread into eastern areas tonight. The high cloud flaring into SA later today but rain stays way out west. Scattered showers and thunderstorms for the SWLD with the weakening upper low could drop some small hail as well. Mostly settled elsewhere with colder mornings on the way for the southeast inland this week.
The cloud band falls apart as mentioned last night, thanks to the high pressure building over the southeast of the country. But the latest runs of weather support some light rainfall making it into central SA. That would be interesting and could start to lift rainfall chances this weekend for the southeast and eastern inland as the moisture merges with the moisture coming in from the east via those strong easterly winds.
The system is set to sharpen on the east coast of QLD and maybe into northeast NSW where severe weather is possible with heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding. There could be moisture leading into the eastern inland of NSW and possibly eastern SA. Over the outback of WA, still have moisture running through the jet stream. Overall, the nation becoming moister and more unstable as we head into next week.
The GFS wants to promote a strong rainfall event through the weekend and into next week, but will the latest update show that? Rainfall also expected over the weekend in the SWLD of WA and can that spread through to SA and into the southeast states?
Lots of moving pieces which I will talk about more in an hour or so. Have a great morning.